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Global Oil Prices Surge Past 100 Dollars Amid Escalating Iran Conflict

10 sources across 9 countries

Who reported this

  • CNN United States · Centre-left · Warner Bros. Discovery
  • Associated Press United States · Centre · Non-profit news cooperative
  • Folha de S.Paulo Brazil · Centre · Grupo Folha (Frias family)
  • La Tercera Chile · Centre-right · Copesa (Saieh family)
  • France 24 France · Centre · Public · France Medias Monde (French state holding)
  • The Indian Express India · Centre · Indian Express Group (Goenka family)
  • Corriere della Sera Italy · Centre-right · RCS MediaGroup (Cairo Communication)
  • Asahi Shimbun Japan · Centre-left · Asahi Shimbun Company (family and employee held)
  • Aftenposten Norway · Centre-right · Schibsted, Tinius Trust foundation
  • Financial Times United Kingdom · Centre · Nikkei Inc.

What the colours mean

  • Left
  • Centre-left
  • Centre
  • Centre-right
  • Right
  • A hatched block means the outlet is affiliated with, or controlled by, a state.

Political lean describes where an outlet sits within the politics of its own country. It is never a position on a single global scale.

Political lean is comparable inside one country and not across them, which is why the bar groups by country first. Publicly funded broadcasters are not marked as state-linked.

The owner of each outlet is listed as a matter of record, not as a judgement about the outlet.

Global oil prices rose sharply on Thursday, with Brent crude hitting 105 dollars per barrel and U.S. crude briefly surpassing 100 dollars per barrel for the first time since May. The price surge follows an escalation in the war with Iran, including strikes on oil tankers and attacks by Iran backed Houthis in the Red Sea and against Saudi Arabia. These events have raised concerns regarding the stability of oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab al Mandab Strait. S&P Global Energy reported that it no longer expects Middle East oil production to return to pre war levels by the end of next year.

The spike in energy costs has triggered volatility across global financial markets. In the United States, the 10 year Treasury yield surged to 4.93 percent, its highest level since October 2023, while major stock indexes including the S&P 500 declined. In Europe, the European Central Bank raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 2.5 percent, citing that the conflict in the Middle East continues to generate inflationary pressures. In Brazil, the dollar opened higher as investors reacted to the geopolitical risks and domestic economic data showing a moderation in service sector growth.

Political figures and analysts offered differing outlooks on the duration of the crisis. President Donald Trump stated that energy prices would plummet and the war would end shortly after the November 3 midterm elections, suggesting that Iran cannot resist much longer. Conversely, analysts from S&P Global Energy and Capital Economics indicated that the market is adjusting to a new normal of unresolved conflict and persistent maritime risk. Some center right perspectives noted that while fear is driving prices, global reserves and exports remain relatively stable, suggesting a high risk premium is currently baked into the prices.

How each side framed it

Centre-left
These outlets emphasized the prolonged nature of the supply shock and the strategic efforts of Iran and its proxies to regain the initiative in the war.
Centre
These outlets focused on the broad economic data, market indicators, and the direct causal link between geopolitical instability and price hikes.
Centre-right
These outlets highlighted the stability of oil fundamentals despite the panic and emphasized Donald Trump's predictions of a post election price drop.

Sources

100% of the statements in this article were traced back to the source articles listed above.