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European Central Bank Raises Interest Rates to 2.5 Percent Amid Middle East Conflict

18 sources across 13 countries

Who reported this

  • Der Spiegel Germany · Centre-left · ~50% staff-owned
  • Sueddeutsche Zeitung Germany · Centre-left · Sudwestdeutsche Medien Holding
  • Deutsche Welle Germany · Centre · Public · German federal public-law corporation
  • Frankfurter Allgemeine Germany · Centre-right · FAZIT-Stiftung (foundation)
  • UOL Brazil · Centre-left · Grupo Folha
  • CNN Brasil Brazil · Centre · Rubens Menin (MRV)
  • ANSA Italy · Centre · Publisher cooperative
  • Corriere della Sera Italy · Centre-right · RCS MediaGroup (Cairo Communication)
  • Infobae Argentina · Centre-right · Daniel Hadad
  • Le Monde France · Centre-left · Fonds pour l'independance de la presse
  • Telex Hungary · Centre · Reader-funded, staff-owned
  • Asahi Shimbun Japan · Centre-left · Asahi Shimbun Company (family and employee held)
  • Aftenposten Norway · Centre-right · Schibsted, Tinius Trust foundation
  • Business Day South Africa · Centre-right · Arena Holdings (Lebashe Investment Group)
  • El Pais Spain · Centre-left · Grupo PRISA
  • Neue Zuercher Zeitung Switzerland · Centre-right · Dispersed shareholders, no controlling stake
  • Financial Times United Kingdom · Centre · Nikkei Inc.
  • Bloomberg United States · Centre · Bloomberg L.P. (Michael Bloomberg)

What the colours mean

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  • Centre-left
  • Centre
  • Centre-right
  • Right
  • A hatched block means the outlet is affiliated with, or controlled by, a state.

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Political lean is comparable inside one country and not across them, which is why the bar groups by country first. Publicly funded broadcasters are not marked as state-linked.

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The European Central Bank raised its key interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, bringing the main deposit rate to 2.5 percent. The decision, made during a meeting in Berlin, marks the second increase this year. The bank also raised the main refinancing rate to 2.65 percent and the marginal lending facility to 2.90 percent. These changes take effect on September 16.

Bank officials stated that the hike is intended to combat inflation, which reached 3.3 percent in the eurozone in August. The ECB attributed this price pressure to rising energy costs stemming from the war between the United States and Iran, as well as conflicts involving Houthi rebels in Yemen. Brent crude oil prices have surpassed 100 dollars per barrel, and natural gas prices have reached highs not seen since late 2022. President Christine Lagarde noted that inflation is expected to remain above the 2 percent target for a prolonged period.

Despite the energy shock, the ECB revised its economic growth projections upward. The bank now expects growth of 0.9 percent in 2026, 1.4 percent in 2027, and 1.5 percent in 2028. Lagarde described the eurozone economy as resilient, citing solid manufacturing and investments in artificial intelligence. However, the bank warned that the outlook remains highly uncertain, with risks of higher inflation and lower economic growth.

Market reactions were mixed. Some analysts suggest the move was necessary to avoid the delays seen in 2022, while others argue the hike may be premature given that inflation is primarily driven by external energy shocks rather than internal demand. In Brazil, the news contributed to a retreat in the Ibovespa index and a rise in the dollar.

How each side framed it

Centre-left
These reports emphasized the risk of a prolonged energy crisis and the potential for higher costs for consumers, such as mortgages and fuel.
Centre
These outlets focused on the technical details of the rate hikes and the broader global economic impact, including market reactions in Brazil.
Centre-right
These outlets highlighted the resilience of the economy and debated whether the ECB was acting too quickly or appropriately to signal its commitment to inflation targets.

Sources

100% of the statements in this article were traced back to the source articles listed above.