Quaest Polls Reveal Diverse Electoral Landscapes Across Brazilian States
4 sources · Brazil
Who reported this
- G1
- CNN Brasil
- Folha de S.Paulo
- Estadao
What the colours mean
- Left
- Centre-left
- Centre
- Centre-right
- Right
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A series of polls conducted by the Quaest institute between August 21 and 24 reveals the current state of several gubernatorial and senatorial races across Brazil. In the presidential race, center left sources report a technical tie between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro in the three largest electoral colleges: São Paulo, Minas Gerais, and Rio de Janeiro. However, Lula maintains significant leads in Maranhão and Pernambuco, while Flávio Bolsonaro leads in Santa Catarina and Rondônia.
In São Paulo, Governor Tarcísio de Freitas leads the gubernatorial race with 40 percent of intentions, followed by Fernando Haddad at 27 percent. In Rio de Janeiro, Eduardo Paes leads with 37 percent, followed by Douglas Ruas at 14 percent and Anthony Garotinho at 7 percent. In Minas Gerais, Cleitinho Azevedo leads with 29 percent, while Patrus Ananias and Alexandre Kalil follow with 11 percent and 10 percent respectively. Center sources highlight that 80 percent of Minas Gerais voters remain undecided in spontaneous polls for governor, suggesting potential for significant shifts before the October 4 election.
Other regional results show Antônio Furlan leading in Amapá with 55 percent against Clécio Luís at 35 percent. In Amazonas, Senator Omar Aziz leads with 26 percent, followed by Roberto Cidade at 18 percent. In Pernambuco, Governor Raquel Lyra leads with 44 percent over João Campos at 36 percent. In Mato Grosso do Sul, Governor Eduardo Riedel holds a strong lead with 40 percent. In Rondônia, Senator Marcos Rogério and Adailton Fúria are in a technical tie with 24 percent and 21 percent respectively.
For the Distrito Federal, Governor Celina Leão leads the gubernatorial race with 34 percent, followed by José Roberto Arruda at 20 percent. In the race for the Senate in the DF, Michelle Bolsonaro leads with 25 percent. Most of these surveys were commissioned by Globo and registered with the Superior Electoral Court, typically carrying a margin of error of three percentage points.
How each side framed it
- Centre-left
- Emphasized the technical ties in major presidential hubs and provided detailed demographic breakdowns of voter support.
- Centre
- Focused on the high levels of voter indecision and the specific political dynamics of candidate nominations.
- Centre-right
- Highlighted the specific percentages of candidates and the public's desire for either continuity or total change in government.
Sources
- Centre CNN Brasil: Quaest AP: Rayssa Furlan has 27% and Randolfe Rodrigues, 19% in the Senate
- Centre CNN Brasil: Quaest: Eduardo Braga leads Senate race in AM
- Centre CNN Brasil: Quaest: João Azevedo and Veneziano Vital lead Senate race in PB
- Centre CNN Brasil: Quaest: Lucas Ribeiro leads race for the government of Paraíba
- Centre CNN Brasil: Quaest: Omar Aziz leads 1st and 2nd round scenarios for the government of Amazonas
- Centre-right Estadao: Quaest: Professor Dorinha has 37% for the government of TO; Vicentinho Júnior appears with 28%
- Centre-right Estadao: Quaest: Marcos Rogério has 24% of voting intentions in Rondônia; Adailton Fúria, 21%
- Centre-right Estadao: Riedel has 40%, Fábio Trad, 13%, and Delcídio Amaral, 8%, in the election for governor of MS, says Quaest
- Centre-right Estadao: Quaest: Lucas Ribeiro has 38% in Paraíba; Cícero Lucena has 19%
- Centre Folha de S.Paulo: Quaest: Raquel Lyra has 44%, against 36% for João Campos in Pernambuco
- Centre Folha de S.Paulo: Quaest: In Rondônia, Marcos Rogério has 24% and Adailton Fúria, 21%
- Centre Folha de S.Paulo: Quaest: Dorinha leads with 37% in Tocantins, followed by Vicentinho Júnior, with 28%
- Centre Folha de S.Paulo: Quaest: Lucas Ribeiro leads in Paraíba with 38%; Cícero Lucena has 19% and Efraim Filho, 18%
- Centre Folha de S.Paulo: Quaest: Riedel leads with 40% in MS, Fábio Trad has 13% and Delcídio Amaral, 8%
- Centre Folha de S.Paulo: Quaest: Cleitinho leads in MG with 29%; Patrus has 11% and Kalil, 10%
- Centre Folha de S.Paulo: Quaest RJ: Eduardo Paes leads with 37%; Ruas has 14% and Garotinho, 7%
- Centre Folha de S.Paulo: Quaest: Celina Leão leads for the Government of the DF with 34%, and José Roberto Arruda has 20%
- Centre Folha de S.Paulo: Quaest AM: Omar, 26%; Cidade 18%; Maria do Carmo, 16%; David, 15%
- Centre Folha de S.Paulo: Quaest: Tarcísio has 40% in the 1st round for the Government of São Paulo, against 27% for Haddad
- Centre Folha de S.Paulo: Quaest AP: Dr. Furlan leads with 55%, against 35% for Clécio Luís
- Centre Folha de S.Paulo: Quaest: In MT, Wellington Fagundes has 27% and Otaviano Pivetta, 23%
- Centre-left G1: Quaest in RJ: voting intention for governor by sex, race, age, education, income and political identification
- Centre-left G1: Quaest: spontaneous poll shows that 80% of MG voters are undecided about vote for governor; 94%, for senator
- Centre-left G1: Quaest: see the numbers of the presidential election in 17 states and in the DF
100% of the statements in this article were traced back to the source articles listed above.