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UN Warns of Very Strong El Niño with Impacts Extending into 2027

22 sources across 14 countries · 1 of them is linked to a state

Who reported this

  • G1 Brazil · Centre-left · Grupo Globo (Marinho family)
  • CNN Brasil Brazil · Centre · Rubens Menin (MRV)
  • Folha de S.Paulo Brazil · Centre · Grupo Folha (Frias family)
  • Der Spiegel Germany · Centre-left · ~50% staff-owned
  • Deutsche Welle Germany · Centre · Public · German federal public-law corporation
  • Frankfurter Allgemeine Germany · Centre-right · FAZIT-Stiftung (foundation)
  • The Guardian United Kingdom · Centre-left · Scott Trust Limited
  • The Independent United Kingdom · Centre-left · Sultan Muhammad Abuljadayel and Evgeny Lebedev
  • BBC News United Kingdom · Centre · Public · Licence fee, royal charter
  • Tempo English Indonesia · Centre-left · PT Tempo Inti Media
  • The Jakarta Post Indonesia · Centre-left · PT Bina Media Tenggara
  • Rappler Philippines · Centre-left · Rappler Inc, staff-held
  • Philippine Daily Inquirer Philippines · Centre · Prieto family
  • La Nacion Argentina · Centre-right · Saguier family
  • El Espectador Colombia · Centre-left · Grupo Santo Domingo
  • Le Monde Afrique France · Centre-left · Fonds pour l'independance de la presse
  • Telex Hungary · Centre · Reader-funded, staff-owned
  • ANSA Italy · Centre · Publisher cooperative
  • Dawn Pakistan · Centre-left · Pakistan Herald Publications (Haroon family)
  • Al Jazeera Qatar · Centre-left · State-affiliated · Qatari government funded
  • El Pais Spain · Centre-left · Grupo PRISA
  • WIRED United States · Centre-left · Conde Nast (Advance Publications)

What the colours mean

  • Left
  • Centre-left
  • Centre
  • Centre-right
  • Right
  • A hatched block means the outlet is affiliated with, or controlled by, a state.

Political lean describes where an outlet sits within the politics of its own country. It is never a position on a single global scale.

Political lean is comparable inside one country and not across them, which is why the bar groups by country first. Publicly funded broadcasters are not marked as state-linked.

The owner of each outlet is listed as a matter of record, not as a judgement about the outlet.

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has warned that the current El Niño is set to intensify into a very strong event, with a nearly 100 percent probability that the phenomenon will persist through February 2027. The UN climate agency stated that the event will peak toward the end of 2026, though its knock on impacts on global climate patterns are expected to continue well into 2027. UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres described the event as being supersized before our eyes, stating that the planet is in uncharted waters and a danger zone of extreme weather.

Data shows that sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific are significantly above average. Weekly values between late July and mid August ranged from 2.2C to 2.6C above normal, while some subsurface ocean temperatures were recorded at more than 8C above average. WMO Secretary General Celeste Saulo noted that this episode could be more powerful than anything observed since monitoring began four decades ago. She warned that the phenomenon has the potential to deliver a massive blow to global economies and communities, specifically affecting agriculture, health, energy, and water sectors.

While El Niño is a natural climate phenomenon and not caused by climate change, scientists expect it to exacerbate the heating of a planet already warming from the burning of fossil fuels. The WMO forecasts an increased likelihood of above normal temperatures across almost all land areas from September to November. Expected impacts include droughts in parts of the Amazon, Indonesia, and Australia, as well as disrupted monsoons in India and intense flooding in South America and East Africa.

Some reports highlight immediate extreme weather linked to the phenomenon, including a rare occurrence of three simultaneous hurricanes in the Pacific, including storms named Marie, Lowell, and Karina. In response, several Latin American countries, including Peru, Ecuador, Panama, and El Salvador, have declared states of emergency to prepare for the impacts.

How each side framed it

Centre-left
These outlets emphasized the intersection of the natural phenomenon with the human caused climate crisis and the resulting humanitarian risks.
Centre
These outlets focused primarily on the technical data, the UN's official warnings, and the general global risks.
Centre-right
These outlets highlighted the economic threats and the specific emergency measures being taken by national governments to mitigate disaster.

Sources

100% of the statements in this article were traced back to the source articles listed above.